Rising Tensions in Darfur: RSF's Strategic Gains Spark Fears of Partition

The Sudanese paramilitary group, Rapid Support Forces (RSF), is closing in on final resistance in Darfur’s al-Fashir, marking a pivotal moment in an 18-month long siege. The fall of this city raises alarms over possible retaliations against 250,000 civilians and broader geographical divisions between Sudan’s warring factions.

In recent developments, RSF captured the army’s headquarters in al-Fashir, displacing 26,000 people, according to the International Organization for Migration. Sudanese military sources report thousands of army soldiers and allied rebels have been surrounded by RSF in western al-Fashir neighborhoods, intensifying the risk of the conflict's escalation.

U.N. chief Antonio Guterres and analysts fear foreign weapon supply exacerbates the war, with accusations against the UAE, which denies any involvement. As RSF forces make gains, such as in North Kordofan's Bara, the prospect of them advancing towards Khartoum remains a looming threat.