War's Uncertain Outcomes: Israeli Perspectives on the Conflict with Iran

In closed-door talks, Israeli officials doubted the collapse of Iran's government amid the ongoing conflict, despite U.S. President Donald Trump’s remarks about a potential end soon. Israel believes Washington isn't close to halting the campaign, a stance revealed by key diplomatic and military figures.

The bombing killed Iran's Supreme Leader and senior commanders, but also struck civilians and shattered homes. Fear over further violence has prevented potential protests. While Iran's economic future looks bleak, Israel attributes little chance to a near-term collapse of the clerical regime, guided by Prime Minister Netanyahu's declaration of Iranian self-determination.

Trenchant Israeli views resonate with the absence of clear war aims from the U.S.-Israel alliance. Comments from Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar emphasize a protracted campaign with uncertain results. Onlookers including Assaf Orion of the Washington Institute note the war’s tangible goal of weakening Iran’s military, amidst Tehran’s silenced civil unrest.