Weather Woes Impact India's Wheat Harvest: Government Adjusts Procurement Strategies

India's wheat production for the crop year 2025-26 is anticipated to be between 110 and 120 million tonnes, as recent unseasonal rains and hailstorms damaged crops in major states, according to Food Secretary Sanjeev Chopra. The Roller Flour Millers' Federation estimates the output at around 110.65 million tonnes, slightly surpassing last year's figures despite weather setbacks.

The agriculture ministry had earlier predicted a production increase to 120.21 million tonnes, up from 117.94 million tonnes the previous year, but these expectations were tempered by adverse weather. Chopra highlighted at a federation event that actual production lies between the ministry's initial estimate and the federation's adjusted figure. So far, the government has procured 16.4 million tonnes of wheat and has raised its procurement target from 30 to 34.5 million tonnes.

Government procurement norms have been relaxed in key states, excluding Uttarakhand, with increased targets in Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Bihar, and others. While India has allowed for phased exports, shipments face challenges due to price issues. The government plans a new open market sale policy for wheat in the coming months and encourages millers to participate actively in procurement.